{"id":8611,"date":"2026-11-05T13:04:22","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T20:04:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/homebuyinginstitute.com\/mortgage\/?p=8611"},"modified":"2026-11-05T15:49:21","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T22:49:21","slug":"will-2027-be-a-good-year-to-buy-in-florida","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/homebuyinginstitute.com\/mortgage\/will-2027-be-a-good-year-to-buy-in-florida\/","title":{"rendered":"Will 2027 Be a Good Year to Buy a Home in Florida? An In-Depth Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7\"><strong>Short answer:<\/strong>&nbsp;For buyers who are financially prepared and understand the homeowners insurance challenges in Florida, 2027 could be a good year to buy a home due to sellers outnumbering buyers in most cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Florida&#8217;s housing market has had some wild swings over the past few years, going from a hot seller&#8217;s market to one that increasingly favored buyers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now, many buyers and investors are looking ahead to 2027 and wondering the same thing: Will 2027 be a good year to buy a home in Florida?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We expect most housing markets across the state to remain buyer-friendly in 2027, with sellers outnumbering buyers and prices\u00a0<a href=\"\/mortgage\/florida-home-prices-could-remain-flat\">remaining mostly flat<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Buying in Florida in 2027: Five Things to Know<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here are five things to know if you&#8217;re planning to buy in 2027:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"#one\">Florida home prices are mostly flat, but not crashing.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"#two\">Mortgage rates have risen more than home prices.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"#three\">Most cities favor buyers due to supply surpluses.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"#four\">Florida property taxes will be cheaper in 2027.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"#five\">Buyers should consider &#8220;carrying costs,&#8221; not just price.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"one\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Florida home prices are mostly flat, but not crashing.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Home prices across Florida have been mostly flat over the past year, according to the four sources cited below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Home price trends can vary significantly at the local level. But overall, the state experienced very little movement during 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here&#8217;s what the data showed as of November 2026:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Redfin:<\/strong>\u00a0Florida&#8217;s statewide median sale price remained flat over the previous year (from October 2025 &#8211; October 2026), with no change.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Realtor.com:<\/strong>\u00a0The statewide median sale price was flat over the previous year, while the median listing price declined slightly.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Zillow:<\/strong>\u00a0The average Florida home value declined by 0.9%, year over year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Florida Realtors\u00ae:<\/strong>\u00a0The median sale price for existing homes rose 1.2%, while the median price for condos declined by 1.8%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So, aside from that one metric for existing single-family homes (from Florida Realtors), all sources report home prices being flat or down slightly over the past year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Today&#8217;s higher mortgage rates, higher fuel costs, inflation, and other factors have reduced buyer demand. So there&#8217;s less upward pressure on home prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7\"><strong>Bottom line for buyers:<\/strong>\u00a0Florida home prices will likely remain flat or rise slightly in 2027. They&#8217;re sitting on a floor right now, which reduces urgency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"two\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Mortgage rates have risen more than home prices.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In early November, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage was hovering around 7.24%. That&#8217;s up from 6.17% a year earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On a $415,000 home purchase with 20% down, this increase in mortgage rates adds roughly $250 per month in principal and interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking forward, some economists predict that 30-year mortgage rates will remain above 7% for most of 2027, if not for the entire year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That matters to Florida home buyers, because higher rates can increase monthly payments and reduce affordability even when prices remain flat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7\"><strong>Bottom line for buyers:<\/strong>\u00a0It&#8217;s the monthly payment, not the sticker price, that increased the most during 2026. This could affect your budget in 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"three\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. Most cities favor buyers due to supply surpluses.<br><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Most of Florida is currently classified as a buyer&#8217;s market, and by multiple sources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s the usual imbalance: there are more sellers and listings than there are buyers. This results in a longer time on market, while giving buyers an edge in negotiations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In many Florida cities, sellers currently outnumber buyers by more than two to one. That&#8217;s based on data reported by Redfin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But this can vary at the local level, with some metros having a bigger imbalance than others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>As we head into 2027,\u00a0<strong>Miami<\/strong>\u00a0will have the biggest &#8220;seller surplus,&#8221; especially within the condo segment of the housing market.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>West Palm Beach<\/strong>\u00a0and Jacksonville, meanwhile, are a little more balanced (while still favoring buyers for the most part).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fort Lauderdale, Orlando, and Tampa<\/strong>\u00a0are in the middle of that spectrum, with more sellers than buyers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here&#8217;s the percentage by which sellers outnumbered buyers in Florida&#8217;s major metros, in November 2026. This is from the Redfin Data Center.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Fort Lauderdale: 117%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jacksonville: 80%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Miami: 159%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Orlando: 123%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tampa: 104%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>West Palm Beach: 68%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7\"><strong>Bottom line for buyers:<\/strong>\u00a0Lopsided market conditions will likely persist in 2027. But well-priced homes in hot neighborhoods can still sell quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"four\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. Florida property taxes will be cheaper in 2027.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Amendment 3 was\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wusf.org\/politics-issues\/2026-11-03\/florida-2026-election-results-voters-approve-amendment-3-property-tax-reduction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">approved by Florida voters<\/a>\u00a0on November 3. So if you&#8217;re buying a home in Florida in 2027, you could benefit from lower property taxes than previous years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This constitutional amendment expands Florida&#8217;s non-school homestead exemption for primary residences from $50,000 to $150,000, effective on January 1, 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That higher exemption lowers the taxable value of your primary residence, for both county and city taxes. This in turn can cut several hundred to over a thousand dollars off your annual property tax bill (depending on local tax rates).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the rules are different for current and new residents:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Existing Florida residents, and home buyers who establish permanent residency by December 31, 2026, receive the full expanded exemption immediately in 2027.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Buyers moving to Florida after December 31, 2026, face a five-year &#8220;phase-in&#8221; window where they get a smaller initial exemption before unlocking the full amount.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7\"><strong>Bottom line for buyers:<\/strong>\u00a0For current residents, buying in 2027 could bring a lower tax burden, at a time when many buyers could really benefit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"five\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. Buyers should consider &#8220;carrying costs,&#8221; not just price.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In Florida&#8217;s unique housing market,&nbsp;the purchase price is only part of the equation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">High &#8220;carrying costs&#8221; (like homeowners insurance, flood insurance, HOA assessments, and property taxes) can also play a big role in overall affordability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Homeowners insurance premiums in Florida remain among\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/advice\/hyperlocal\/florida-homeowners-insurance-costs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the highest in the nation<\/a>, a dynamic that will likely continue in 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On top of that, state law requires all Citizens Property Insurance policyholders with wind coverage to carry\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensfla.com\/flood\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">separate flood insurance<\/a>\u00a0starting in 2027, regardless of whether the home is in a high-risk flood zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In condo communities,&nbsp;buyers also have to account for mandatory structural reserve funding laws that have increased monthly HOA dues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Florida home buyers are often surprised to learn that these additional recurring monthly expenses can rival or even surpass a home&#8217;s principal and interest payment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A home that appears reasonably priced on paper can quickly become unaffordable once you add in annual insurance quotes, flood endorsements, and association assessments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7\"><strong>Bottom line for buyers:<\/strong>\u00a0Before submitting an offer,\u00a0get home insurance quotes and review HOA details to estimate the\u00a0<em>full<\/em>\u00a0monthly costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Want to Keep Tabs on the Market in 2027?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you&#8217;re planning to buy a home in Florida in 2027 and want to keep track of market trends, you can subscribe to our weekly newsletter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Florida Housing Weekly<\/em>\u00a0is a premium newsletter for anyone who is serious about tracking real estate market conditions across the state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s authored by a leading market analyst with more than 20 years of experience (and is 100% free of AI-generated nonsense).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7\"><strong>Sign up today, and you&#8217;ll always know what&#8217;s happening.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Disclaimer: This report contains predictions about the Florida housing market in 2027. Those views amount to an educated guess and are therefore not guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Short answer:&nbsp;For buyers who are financially prepared and understand the homeowners insurance challenges in Florida, 2027 could be a good year to buy a home due to sellers outnumbering buyers in most cities. Florida&#8217;s housing market has had some wild swings over the past few years, going from a hot seller&#8217;s market to one that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8616,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-florida"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Will 2027 Be a Good Year to Buy a Home in Florida? An In-Depth Look<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With sellers outnumbering buyers in most major cities, and prices flat or slowly rising, 2027 could be a good year to buy a home in Florida.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/homebuyinginstitute.com\/mortgage\/will-2027-be-a-good-year-to-buy-in-florida\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will 2027 Be a Good Year to Buy a Home in Florida? 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